Companies · Retailing

Mud Bay Inc

OLYMPIA · Retailing

Diligence memoA one-page analyst read on Mud Bay Inc — recommendation, valuation, rhythm, risks.
$446K
Total raised · real
1
Rounds
Latest step-up
Top 77%
Sector rank · raised
Pre-Seed
Latest stage · inferred · Wed Dec 29 2010 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)

Mud Bay Inc looks fair against its niche peers and is dormant on financing cadence.

Synthesized from the figures below est. — every claim rests on a number shown on this page. Valuation uses the retail sector profile.

Analyst read est. — computed against this company's niche peers in the same era. Inputs shown; not a quoted figure.

Fair
  • Modeled value is 1.40× the median modeled value of Pre-Seed Retailing companies in 2010–2012 (142 peers) — value vs value, same stage and era.
  • Within the normal band (140% of peer median) for its niche.
Dormant
  • Last raise 15.5 yr ago; this sector typically re-raises about every 13 months.
  • Only one round on record and long silent — often defunct, acquired, or gone quiet.
Leadership

No named principal in this company's public records yet — see all operators below.

Explore how these operators interlock with other companies in the operator network.

Where it sits in Retailing

Mud Bay Inc is one of 2347 Retailing companies tracked from OLYMPIA. By capital raised it ranks in the long tail (ahead of 24% of sector peers), and in the long tail by modeled valuation est..

Ranking is computed against this company's own sector cohort — reported capital is fact; valuation tiers are modeled.

As reported in public records reported — not modeled.

US
Jurisdiction
Amount raised vs valuation, by round

Solid bars are reported offering amounts reported; hatched bars are the modeled post-money valuation est. — both on one shared scale so you can read raise-vs-worth at each round directly. Use the toggles to overlay data labels and the niche-peer / market average value lines.

Amount raised · realModeled valuation · estCumulative funded · real
$0$1.3M$2.5M$3.8M$5.0MPre-Seed · 2010-12-29 Raised $446K (real) Modeled valuation $3.5M (est)$446K$3.5MPre-Seed2010

The line shows cumulative reported funding over the period; + labels show new capital added between points when there is room. Toggle on-bar figures, plus the niche-peer and market averages, to read this company against its cohort. Benchmarks are modeled medians.

Financing ladder & sequence gaps
Pre-Seed$446K · 2010

Stages are modeled from round size (public records carry no series label). Ladder is contiguous — every modeled rung has a record.

Modeled valuation trajectory
$3.5M
Base estimate est.
$267K
Conservative case
$39.6M
Upside case
$2.5M
Modeled post-money

Round size and date are reported; the stage label is inferred from round size (latest is Pre-Seeda round under $1.0M). Valuation is modeled from stage benchmarks scaled by the retail sector profile. Directional, not a quoted figure.

Not enough modeled valuation points to chart a trajectory.

Model inputs · modeled:benchmark-stage-stepup-v1
18%
Dilution assumption
Implied ownership sold in the financing.
27%
Survival probability
11% low · 50% high
1.32×/yr
Annual markup
1.78×/yr upside case
6.0 yr
Elapsed time used
15.5 yr actual, capped for stale marks
retail
Sector profile
Adjusts growth and survival by industry.
Financing rhythm
Avg between rounds
Capital velocity
15.5 yr
On record since
2010
First round
1
Rounds on file
How it compares to the market

Benchmarked against 2347 companies in Retailing. Each bar is a median (the middle company, not an average — outliers don't skew it). Two yardsticks: real money raised (reported on Form D) and modeled value (our estimate est.). These are whole-sector medians across all stages, except the per-stage row.

Total raised — vs sector median (real $, all stages) 0.3× of median
This company$446K
Sector median$1.6M
Latest round — vs other Pre-Seed rounds in sector (real $, this stage) 1.4× above median
This company$446K
Sector median$323K
Modeled value — vs sector median (estimate, all stages) 0.6× of median
This company$3.5M
Sector median$5.8M

Raised more than 24% of sector peers (real $). Modeled value above 39% of peers (estimate).

Niche peers — same stage & era

A tighter cohort than the sector chart above — only companies at the same stage (Pre-Seed) that last raised in the same ~3-year era, ranked by modeled value est. (not money raised). This is the exact set the analyst read compares against, so a like-for-like cohort is what makes "over/under-valued" meaningful. This company ranks #50 of 142.

This companyCohort peer
$1.0M$10.0M$100K$1.0M$10.0MCapital raised (log)Movio Network, Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $1.0M · modeled $7.8M (est)Bonanzle, Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $1.0M · modeled $7.8M (est)REVO, Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $960K · modeled $7.5M (est)WW NORTON & Co INC · Pre-Seed Raised $1.9M · modeled $7.5M (est)Fetch Enterprises Inc · Pre-Seed Raised $934K · modeled $7.3M (est)Bambeco LLC · Pre-Seed Raised $1.1M · modeled $7.3M (est)FFDP & Associates, Inc · Pre-Seed Raised $925K · modeled $7.3M (est)Bremerton Cinema LLC · Pre-Seed Raised $900K · modeled $7.1M (est)Cal-Vin Holding LLC · Pre-Seed Raised $870K · modeled $6.8M (est)RAMp Sports LLC · Pre-Seed Raised $965K · modeled $6.7M (est)Minerva Worldwide Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $840K · modeled $6.6M (est)Montiel USA Corp · Pre-Seed Raised $1.1M · modeled $6.5M (est)Mud Bay Inc (this company) Raised $446K · modeled $3.5M (est)Mud Bay Inc
CompanyStageRaised · realValue · estvs peer med.
Movio Network, Inc.Pre-Seed$1.0M$7.8M3.15×
Bonanzle, Inc.Pre-Seed$1.0M$7.8M3.15×
REVO, Inc.Pre-Seed$960K$7.5M3.02×
WW NORTON & Co INCPre-Seed$1.9M$7.5M3.00×
Fetch Enterprises IncPre-Seed$934K$7.3M2.94×
Bambeco LLCPre-Seed$1.1M$7.3M2.94×
FFDP & Associates, IncPre-Seed$925K$7.3M2.91×
Bremerton Cinema LLCPre-Seed$900K$7.1M2.83×
Cal-Vin Holding LLCPre-Seed$870K$6.8M2.74×
RAMp Sports LLCPre-Seed$965K$6.7M2.68×
Minerva Worldwide Inc.Pre-Seed$840K$6.6M2.65×
Montiel USA CorpPre-Seed$1.1M$6.5M2.61×
Mud Bay Inc this companyPre-Seed$446K$3.5M1.40×
Full financing history

Stage is inferred from round size est., not reported on the filing — a round's dollar size maps to a bucket: Pre-Seed <$1.0M · Seed $1.0M–$4.0M · Series A $4.0M–$15M · Series B $15M–$40M · Series C $40M–$100M · Series D+ $100M–$400M · Growth/Late >$400M.

StageAmount · realAnnouncedPost-money · estValue · estConf.
Pre-Seed$446K2010-12-29$2.5M$3.5M90%
What happened at each round

Step-up, pace versus the sector's normal cadence, and revenue/exemption moves — read straight from the reported round facts reported.

  1. Pre-Seed$446K2010-12-29
    • First recorded raise — entered as Pre-Seed.
Intelligence
Modeled next raise
$713K
Modeled next size est.range $463K$1.1M
Last step-up
Capital velocity

Predictive signals are modeled est. from this company's own cadence and step-up, plus sector benchmarks — directional, not advice. Peer set and a CSV export live in your analyst workspace.

Key people & operators

Officers, directors and promoters named in this company's public recordsreported — the people who run it (not its investors). "Also runs" counts come from name-matching across all records, so verify before acting.

PersonRoleAlso runsTied since
Brad Stevens2010-12
Elsa Wulff2010-12
Karin Koonings2010-12
Lars Wulff2010-12
Marisa Wulff2010-12
Registry & provenance

Mud Bay Inc is an official record sourced from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). U.S. data is aggregated from SEC Form D filings.

United States
Country of record
US
Jurisdiction
1138636
SEC CIK
Similar companies

Nearest neighbours across the whole database — matched on sector, stage and capital scale, and on shared operators (officers or directors named at both companies in public filings). A discovery shortlist, not a valuation cohort — verify before acting, the same way modeled figures are directional.

CompanySectorStageRaised · realValue · estWhy similar
Grow Solutions Inc.RetailingPre-Seed$445K$3.5Msame sector · same stage
Verb Products, LLCRetailingPre-Seed$445K$3.5Msame sector · same stage
Beauty Ticket, LLCRetailingPre-Seed$450K$3.5Msame sector · same stage
Ezraider Global, Inc.RetailingPre-Seed$450K$2.5Msame sector · same stage
Fitzpatrick Media Group, LLCRetailingPre-Seed$450K$3.5Msame sector · same stage
GLJ Group LLC - Elements Series 1RetailingPre-Seed$450K$3.1Msame sector · same stage
Hero Shop LLCRetailingPre-Seed$450K$3.5Msame sector · same stage
IPD International, LLCRetailingPre-Seed$450K$3.3Msame sector · same stage
Frequently asked
How much funding has Mud Bay Inc raised?
Mud Bay Inc has raised approximately $446K in disclosed capital across 1 recorded financing round, aggregated from public filings.
What is Mud Bay Inc's estimated valuation?
Provath's modeled valuation for Mud Bay Inc is approximately $3.5M (modeled range $267K–$39.6M). This is an algorithmic estimate derived from round sizes and same-niche peers — not a quoted or reported figure.
What funding stage is Mud Bay Inc at?
Mud Bay Inc's latest modeled financing stage is Pre-Seed. Its most recent recorded round closed around Wed Dec 29.
What does Mud Bay Inc do and where is it based?
Mud Bay Inc operates in the Retailing sector, based in OLYMPIA.
Explore related

See where Mud Bay Inc sits in the wider market — its sector, location and stage cohorts, each with their own leaderboards and capital-flow timelines.

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