Companies · Other Technology

Reflection Sciences, Inc.

ST. PAUL · Other Technology

Diligence memoA one-page analyst read on Reflection Sciences, Inc. — recommendation, valuation, rhythm, risks.
$1.5M
Total raised · real
3
Rounds
0.1×
Latest step-up
Top 65%
Sector rank · raised
Pre-Seed
Latest stage · inferred · Mon Jul 24 2023 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)

Reflection Sciences, Inc. looks under-valued against its niche peers and is at-risk on financing cadence.

Synthesized from the figures below est. — every claim rests on a number shown on this page. Valuation uses the technology sector profile.

Analyst read est. — computed against this company's niche peers in the same era. Inputs shown; not a quoted figure.

Under-valued
  • Modeled value is 0.29× the median modeled value of Pre-Seed Other Technology companies in 2022–2024 (975 peers) — value vs value, same stage and era.
  • Issuer reports $0–$1M revenue while modeled below niche peers.
At-risk
  • Last raise 2.9 yr ago; this sector typically re-raises about every 13 months.
  • Past due for a raise versus sector cadence — watch for distress or a bridge.
Leadership

No named principal in this company's public records yet — see all operators below.

Explore how these operators interlock with other companies in the operator network.

Where it sits in Other Technology

Reflection Sciences, Inc. is one of 21292 Other Technology companies tracked from ST. PAUL. By capital raised it ranks in the long tail (ahead of 36% of sector peers), and in the long tail by modeled valuation est..

Ranking is computed against this company's own sector cohort — reported capital is fact; valuation tiers are modeled.

As reported in public records reported — not modeled.

US
Jurisdiction
$0–$1M
Issuer revenue
Rule 506(b)
Reg D exemption
4
Investors (latest)
2023-07-24
First sale
Amount raised vs valuation, by round

Solid bars are reported offering amounts reported; hatched bars are the modeled post-money valuation est. — both on one shared scale so you can read raise-vs-worth at each round directly. Use the toggles to overlay data labels and the niche-peer / market average value lines.

Amount raised · realModeled valuation · estCumulative funded · real
$0$13M$25M$38M$50MPre-Seed · 2015-10-22 Raised $625K (real) Modeled valuation $26M (est)$625K$26MPre-Seed2015Pre-Seed · 2018-11-27 Raised $776K (real) Modeled valuation $33M (est)$776K$33MPre-Seed2018Pre-Seed · 2023-07-24 Raised $100K (real) Modeled valuation $804K (est)$100K$804KPre-Seed2023+$776K+$100KCumulative $1.5M

The line shows cumulative reported funding over the period; + labels show new capital added between points when there is room. Toggle on-bar figures, plus the niche-peer and market averages, to read this company against its cohort. Benchmarks are modeled medians.

Financing ladder & sequence gaps
Pre-Seed$625K · 2015
Pre-Seed extension$776K · 2018
Pre-Seed extension$100K · 2023

Stages are modeled from round size (public records carry no series label). Ladder is contiguous — every modeled rung has a record.

Modeled valuation trajectory
$804K
Base estimate est.
$65K
Conservative case
$3.6M
Upside case
$556K
Modeled post-money

Round size and date are reported; the stage label is inferred from round size (latest is Pre-Seeda round under $1.0M). Valuation is modeled from stage benchmarks scaled by the technology sector profile. Directional, not a quoted figure.

Pre-Seed · modeled $26.5M · 2015-10-222015Pre-Seed · modeled $32.9M · 2018-11-27Pre-Seed · modeled $804K · 2023-07-242023
Model inputs · modeled:benchmark-stage-stepup-v1
18%
Dilution assumption
Implied ownership sold in the financing.
29%
Survival probability
12% low · 54% high
1.72×/yr
Annual markup
2.33×/yr upside case
2.9 yr
Elapsed time used
2.9 yr actual, capped for stale marks
technology
Sector profile
Adjusts growth and survival by industry.
Financing rhythm
47 mo
Avg between rounds
$194K/yr
Capital velocity
10.7 yr
On record since
2015
First round
3
Rounds on file
How it compares to the market

Benchmarked against 21292 companies in Other Technology. Each bar is a median (the middle company, not an average — outliers don't skew it). Two yardsticks: real money raised (reported on Form D) and modeled value (our estimate est.). These are whole-sector medians across all stages, except the per-stage row.

Total raised — vs sector median (real $, all stages) 0.5× of median
This company$1.5M
Sector median$3.2M
Latest round — vs other Pre-Seed rounds in sector (real $, this stage) 0.3× of median
This company$100K
Sector median$375K
Modeled value — vs sector median (estimate, all stages) 0.0× of median
This company$804K
Sector median$37.3M

Raised more than 36% of sector peers (real $). Modeled value above 2% of peers (estimate).

Niche peers — same stage & era

A tighter cohort than the sector chart above — only companies at the same stage (Pre-Seed) that last raised in the same ~3-year era, ranked by modeled value est. (not money raised). This is the exact set the analyst read compares against, so a like-for-like cohort is what makes "over/under-valued" meaningful. This company ranks #868 of 975.

This companyCohort peer
$100K$1.0M$10.0M$100.0M$100K$1.0M$10.0MCapital raised (log)InRev, Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $1.0M · modeled $18.7M (est)Positiv.ly LLC · Pre-Seed Raised $1.0M · modeled $18.6M (est)SmashNet INC · Pre-Seed Raised $1.5M · modeled $18.4M (est)RealConnex Holdings Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $1.0M · modeled $18.2M (est)Pm-Ordr, Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $2.0M · modeled $17.5M (est)Couplr, Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $1.0M · modeled $17.3M (est)Tonic Development Ltd · Pre-Seed Raised $1.0M · modeled $17.1M (est)Scratch Engine Llc · Pre-Seed Raised $920K · modeled $16.6M (est)Callypso Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $1.0M · modeled $16.5M (est)Humetrix · Pre-Seed Raised $1.0M · modeled $16.0M (est)RRC Washington, Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $1.0M · modeled $15.7M (est)Clouds USA Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $1.0M · modeled $15.6M (est)Reflection Sciences, Inc. (this company) Raised $1.5M · modeled $804K (est)Reflection Sciences, Inc.
CompanyStageRaised · realValue · estvs peer med.
InRev, Inc.Pre-Seed$1.0M$18.7M6.78×
Positiv.ly LLCPre-Seed$1.0M$18.6M6.72×
SmashNet INCPre-Seed$1.5M$18.4M6.65×
RealConnex Holdings Inc.Pre-Seed$1.0M$18.2M6.59×
Pm-Ordr, Inc.Pre-Seed$2.0M$17.5M6.33×
Couplr, Inc.Pre-Seed$1.0M$17.3M6.24×
Tonic Development LtdPre-Seed$1.0M$17.1M6.19×
Scratch Engine LlcPre-Seed$920K$16.6M6.00×
Callypso Inc.Pre-Seed$1.0M$16.5M5.95×
HumetrixPre-Seed$1.0M$16.0M5.81×
RRC Washington, Inc.Pre-Seed$1.0M$15.7M5.69×
Clouds USA Inc.Pre-Seed$1.0M$15.6M5.64×
Reflection Sciences, Inc. this companyPre-Seed$1.5M$804K0.29×
Full financing history

Stage is inferred from round size est., not reported on the filing — a round's dollar size maps to a bucket: Pre-Seed <$1.0M · Seed $1.0M–$4.0M · Series A $4.0M–$15M · Series B $15M–$40M · Series C $40M–$100M · Series D+ $100M–$400M · Growth/Late >$400M.

StageAmount · realAnnouncedPost-money · estValue · estConf.
Pre-Seed$625K2015-10-22$3.5M$26.5M85%
Pre-Seed$776K2018-11-27$4.3M$32.9M90%
Pre-Seed$100K2023-07-24$556K$804K90%
What happened at each round

Step-up, pace versus the sector's normal cadence, and revenue/exemption moves — read straight from the reported round facts reported.

  1. Pre-Seed$625K2015-10-22
    • First recorded raise — entered as Pre-Seed.
  2. Pre-Seed$776K2018-11-27
    • Raised again after 37 mo — slower than the ~13 mo sector norm.
    • Round roughly the size of the prior one.
    • 2 investors on this round.
  3. Pre-Seed$100K2023-07-24
    • Raised again after 56 mo — slower than the ~13 mo sector norm.
    • Round 7.8× smaller than the prior — bridge or down round.
    • 4 investors on this round.
Intelligence
2027 ~Q2
Modeled next raise · ~47mo cadence
$100K
Modeled next size est.range $100K$160K
0.1×
Last step-up
$194K/yr
Capital velocity

Predictive signals are modeled est. from this company's own cadence and step-up, plus sector benchmarks — directional, not advice. Peer set and a CSV export live in your analyst workspace.

Key people & operators

Officers, directors and promoters named in this company's public recordsreported — the people who run it (not its investors). "Also runs" counts come from name-matching across all records, so verify before acting.

PersonRoleAlso runsTied since
John Carlson1 other2015-10
Isaac Van Wesep2023-07
Jeffrey J. Shelstad2018-11
John J. Carlson2018-11
Philip Zelazo2015-10
Ryan Hagedorn2023-07
Stephanie Carlson2015-10
Stephanie J. Carlson2018-11
Registry & provenance

Reflection Sciences, Inc. is an official record sourced from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). U.S. data is aggregated from SEC Form D filings.

United States
Country of record
US
Jurisdiction
1671468
SEC CIK
Similar companies

Nearest neighbours across the whole database — matched on sector, stage and capital scale, and on shared operators (officers or directors named at both companies in public filings). A discovery shortlist, not a valuation cohort — verify before acting, the same way modeled figures are directional.

CompanySectorStageRaised · realValue · estWhy similar
Axzon Inc.Other TechnologyPre-Seed$1.5M$957Ksame sector · same stage
Valuenex,Inc.Other TechnologyPre-Seed$1.6M$676Ksame sector · same stage
Fourplay Social Inc.Other TechnologyPre-Seed$1.6M$551Ksame sector · same stage
Inradio IncOther TechnologyPre-Seed$1.4M$903Ksame sector · same stage
Pocketbook, Inc.Other TechnologyPre-Seed$1.7M$924Ksame sector · same stage
406 Bovine, Inc.Other TechnologyPre-Seed$1.3M$610Ksame sector · same stage
use HEARD, Inc.Other TechnologyPre-Seed$1.3M$961Ksame sector · same stage
TowerMetriX, Inc.Other TechnologyPre-Seed$1.8M$545Ksame sector · same stage
Semantically similar

Matched by meaning, not labels — a local language model reads each company's name, sector and description and ranks the closest in that learned space. This catches look-alikes that cross sector boundaries; the structured list above explains its matches, this one trusts the text. Directional, like every modeled signal here.

CompanySectorStageValue · estMatch
Reflective Inc.Other TechnologySeed$43.2M92%
HyperSciences, Inc.Other TechnologySeries A$18.2M86%
Reflection Games, Inc.GamingSeed$3.1M85%
MirrorCache Holdings, Inc.Other TechnologyPre-Seed$12.7M85%
SonicSensory, Inc.Other TechnologySeries A$332.9M84%
Reflex Careers, Inc.Other TechnologySeries A$51.4M84%
Healytics, Inc.Other TechnologySeed$68.1M84%
Prisms of Reality Inc.Other TechnologySeries B$227.5M84%
Frequently asked
How much funding has Reflection Sciences, Inc. raised?
Reflection Sciences, Inc. has raised approximately $1.5M in disclosed capital across 3 recorded financing rounds, aggregated from public filings.
What is Reflection Sciences, Inc.'s estimated valuation?
Provath's modeled valuation for Reflection Sciences, Inc. is approximately $804K (modeled range $65K–$3.6M). This is an algorithmic estimate derived from round sizes and same-niche peers — not a quoted or reported figure.
What funding stage is Reflection Sciences, Inc. at?
Reflection Sciences, Inc.'s latest modeled financing stage is Pre-Seed. Its most recent recorded round closed around Mon Jul 24.
What does Reflection Sciences, Inc. do and where is it based?
Reflection Sciences, Inc. operates in the Other Technology sector, based in ST. PAUL.
Explore related

See where Reflection Sciences, Inc. sits in the wider market — its sector, location and stage cohorts, each with their own leaderboards and capital-flow timelines.

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