Companies · AI / ML

Rad AI, Inc.

SAN FRANCISCO · AI / ML · refined from filed group “Other Technology

Diligence memoA one-page analyst read on Rad AI, Inc. — recommendation, valuation, rhythm, risks.
$123.9M
Total raised · real
2
Rounds
1.4×
Latest step-up
Top 3%
Sector rank · raised
Series C
Latest stage · inferred · Fri Jan 03 2025 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)

Rad AI, Inc. looks over-valued against its niche peers and is quiet on financing cadence.

Synthesized from the figures below est. — every claim rests on a number shown on this page. Valuation uses the ai/ml sector profile.

Analyst read est. — computed against this company's niche peers in the same era. Inputs shown; not a quoted figure.

Over-valued
  • Modeled value is 1.55× the median modeled value of Series C AI / ML companies in 2025–2027 (16 peers) — value vs value, same stage and era.
Quiet
  • Last raise 18 mo ago; this sector typically re-raises about every 11 months.
  • Slightly overdue versus sector cadence.
Leadership

No named principal in this company's public records yet — see all operators below.

Explore how these operators interlock with other companies in the operator network.

Where it sits in AI / ML

Rad AI, Inc. is one of 2067 AI / ML companies tracked from SAN FRANCISCO. By capital raised it ranks among the largest (ahead of 98% of sector peers), and among the largest by modeled valuation est..

Ranking is computed against this company's own sector cohort — reported capital is fact; valuation tiers are modeled.

ai/ml

As reported in public records reported — not modeled.

US
Jurisdiction
Rule 506(b)
Reg D exemption
12
Investors (latest)
2025-01-03
First sale
Amount raised vs valuation, by round

Solid bars are reported offering amounts reported; hatched bars are the modeled post-money valuation est. — both on one shared scale so you can read raise-vs-worth at each round directly. Use the toggles to overlay data labels and the niche-peer / market average value lines.

Amount raised · realModeled valuation · estCumulative funded · real
$0$250M$500M$750M$1.0BSeries C · 2024-03-08 Raised $51M (real) Modeled valuation $580M (est)$51M$580MSeries C2024Series C · 2025-01-03 Raised $73M (real) Modeled valuation $623M (est)$73M$623MSeries C2025+$73MCumulative $124M

The line shows cumulative reported funding over the period; + labels show new capital added between points when there is room. Toggle on-bar figures, plus the niche-peer and market averages, to read this company against its cohort. Benchmarks are modeled medians.

Financing ladder & sequence gaps
Series C$51.0M · 2024
Series C extension$72.9M · 2025

Stages are modeled from round size (public records carry no series label). No record for: Pre-Seed, Seed, Series A, Series B — the company may have raised it under a different exemption, merged it into an adjacent record, or skipped it. Sequence completeness: 20%.

Modeled valuation trajectory
$623.2M
Base estimate est.
$276.3M
Conservative case
$882.6M
Upside case
$486.0M
Modeled post-money

Round size and date are reported; the stage label is inferred from round size (latest is Series Ca $40M–$100M round). Valuation is modeled from stage benchmarks scaled by the ai/ml sector profile. Directional, not a quoted figure.

Series C · modeled $580.2M · 2024-03-082024Series C · modeled $623.2M · 2025-01-032025
Model inputs · modeled:benchmark-stage-stepup-v1
15%
Dilution assumption
Implied ownership sold in the financing.
76%
Survival probability
57% low · 88% high
1.42×/yr
Annual markup
1.62×/yr upside case
1.5 yr
Elapsed time used
1.5 yr actual, capped for stale marks
ai/ml
Sector profile
Adjusts growth and survival by industry.
Financing rhythm
10 mo
Avg between rounds
$150.3M/yr
Capital velocity
2.3 yr
On record since
2024
First round
2
Rounds on file
How it compares to the market

Benchmarked against 2067 companies in AI / ML. Each bar is a median (the middle company, not an average — outliers don't skew it). Two yardsticks: real money raised (reported on Form D) and modeled value (our estimate est.). These are whole-sector medians across all stages, except the per-stage row.

Total raised — vs sector median (real $, all stages) 26× above median
This company$123.9M
Sector median$4.7M
Latest round — vs other Series C rounds in sector (real $, this stage) 1.3× above median
This company$72.9M
Sector median$55.3M
Modeled value — vs sector median (estimate, all stages) 22× above median
This company$623.2M
Sector median$27.9M

Raised more than 98% of sector peers (real $). Modeled value above 97% of peers (estimate).

Niche peers — same stage & era

A tighter cohort than the sector chart above — only companies at the same stage (Series C) that last raised in the same ~3-year era, ranked by modeled value est. (not money raised). This is the exact set the analyst read compares against, so a like-for-like cohort is what makes "over/under-valued" meaningful. This company ranks #2 of 16.

This companyCohort peer
$100.0M$1.0B$10.0M$100.0M$1.0BCapital raised (log)Akido Labs, Inc. · Series C Raised $84.3M · modeled $675.7M (est)Arize AI, Inc. · Series C Raised $111.2M · modeled $584.9M (est)CAST AI Group, Inc. · Series C Raised $153.5M · modeled $569.2M (est)Horizon 3 AI, Inc. · Series C Raised $148.5M · modeled $554.1M (est)Positron AI, Inc. · Series C Raised $75.1M · modeled $549.1M (est)Overland Ai Inc. · Series C Raised $122.3M · modeled $502.1M (est)Moonvalley AI Inc. · Series C Raised $116.3M · modeled $427.4M (est)Pactum AI, Inc. · Series C Raised $61.0M · modeled $376.6M (est)General Counsel AI, Inc. · Series C Raised $67.2M · modeled $354.9M (est)Abacum Inc. · Series C Raised $50.0M · modeled $322.2M (est)Unify AI Business Corp · Series C Raised $58.2M · modeled $305.6M (est)Rad AI, Inc. (this company) Raised $123.9M · modeled $623.2M (est)Rad AI, Inc.
CompanyStageRaised · realValue · estvs peer med.
Akido Labs, Inc.Series C$84.3M$675.7M1.68×
Rad AI, Inc. this companySeries C$123.9M$623.2M1.55×
Arize AI, Inc.Series C$111.2M$584.9M1.45×
CAST AI Group, Inc.Series C$153.5M$569.2M1.42×
Horizon 3 AI, Inc.Series C$148.5M$554.1M1.38×
Positron AI, Inc.Series C$75.1M$549.1M1.37×
Overland Ai Inc.Series C$122.3M$502.1M1.25×
Moonvalley AI Inc.Series C$116.3M$427.4M1.06×
Pactum AI, Inc.Series C$61.0M$376.6M0.94×
General Counsel AI, Inc.Series C$67.2M$354.9M0.88×
Abacum Inc.Series C$50.0M$322.2M0.80×
Unify AI Business CorpSeries C$58.2M$305.6M0.76×
Full financing history

Stage is inferred from round size est., not reported on the filing — a round's dollar size maps to a bucket: Pre-Seed <$1.0M · Seed $1.0M–$4.0M · Series A $4.0M–$15M · Series B $15M–$40M · Series C $40M–$100M · Series D+ $100M–$400M · Growth/Late >$400M.

StageAmount · realAnnouncedPost-money · estValue · estConf.
Series C$51.0M2024-03-08$339.9M$580.2M90%
Series C$72.9M2025-01-03$486.0M$623.2M90%
What happened at each round

Step-up, pace versus the sector's normal cadence, and revenue/exemption moves — read straight from the reported round facts reported.

  1. Series C$51.0M2024-03-08
    • First recorded raise — entered as Series C.
    • 34 investors on this round.
  2. Series C$72.9M2025-01-03
    • Raised 10 mo later, in step with the ~11 mo sector norm.
    • Round 1.4× larger than the prior — scaling up.
    • 12 investors on this round.
Intelligence
2025 ~Q4
Modeled next raise · ~10mo cadence
$104.2M
Modeled next size est.range $72.9M$166.8M
1.4×
Last step-up
$150.3M/yr
Capital velocity

Predictive signals are modeled est. from this company's own cadence and step-up, plus sector benchmarks — directional, not advice. Peer set and a CSV export live in your analyst workspace.

Key people & operators

Officers, directors and promoters named in this company's public recordsreported — the people who run it (not its investors). "Also runs" counts come from name-matching across all records, so verify before acting.

PersonRoleAlso runsTied since
Bruce Armstrong9 other2024-03
Stuart Peterson6 other2024-03
Vinay Shah3 other2025-01
Doktor Gurson2024-03
Jeffrey Chang2024-03
Stewart Peterson2025-01
Registry & provenance

Rad AI, Inc. is an official record sourced from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). U.S. data is aggregated from SEC Form D filings.

United States
Country of record
US
Jurisdiction
2041964
SEC CIK
Similar companies

Nearest neighbours across the whole database — matched on sector, stage and capital scale, and on shared operators (officers or directors named at both companies in public filings). A discovery shortlist, not a valuation cohort — verify before acting, the same way modeled figures are directional.

CompanySectorStageRaised · realValue · estWhy similar
Overland Ai Inc.AI / MLSeries C$122.3M$502.1Msame sector · same stage
Moonvalley AI Inc.AI / MLSeries C$116.3M$427.4Msame sector · same stage
Unlearn.ai, Inc.AI / MLSeries C$115.0M$592.7Msame sector · same stage
Arize AI, Inc.AI / MLSeries C$111.2M$584.9Msame sector · same stage
PAIGE.AI, Inc.AI / MLSeries C$145.5M$316.1Msame sector · same stage
Horizon 3 AI, Inc.AI / MLSeries C$148.5M$554.1Msame sector · same stage
CAST AI Group, Inc.AI / MLSeries C$153.5M$569.2Msame sector · same stage
Percipient.ai Inc.AI / MLSeries C$99.9M$199.5Msame sector · same stage
Semantically similar

Matched by meaning, not labels — a local language model reads each company's name, sector and description and ranks the closest in that learned space. This catches look-alikes that cross sector boundaries; the structured list above explains its matches, this one trusts the text. Directional, like every modeled signal here.

CompanySectorStageValue · estMatch
Rabscuttle AI, Inc.AI / MLPre-Seed$496K90%
System AI, Inc.AI / MLPre-Seed$8.4M89%
Automatic AI, Inc.AI / MLPre-Seed$460K88%
Ai Ecd Inc.AI / MLPre-Seed$284K88%
Root AI, Inc.AI / MLSeries A$275.8M88%
x.ai, inc.AI / MLSeries B$245.9M88%
Roger.ai, Inc.AI / MLSeries A$346.3M88%
Obviously AI, Inc.AI / MLSeries A$41.0M88%
Frequently asked
How much funding has Rad AI, Inc. raised?
Rad AI, Inc. has raised approximately $123.9M in disclosed capital across 2 recorded financing rounds, aggregated from public filings.
What is Rad AI, Inc.'s estimated valuation?
Provath's modeled valuation for Rad AI, Inc. is approximately $623.2M (modeled range $276.3M–$882.6M). This is an algorithmic estimate derived from round sizes and same-niche peers — not a quoted or reported figure.
What funding stage is Rad AI, Inc. at?
Rad AI, Inc.'s latest modeled financing stage is Series C. Its most recent recorded round closed around Fri Jan 03.
What does Rad AI, Inc. do and where is it based?
Rad AI, Inc. operates in the AI / ML sector, based in SAN FRANCISCO.
Explore related

See where Rad AI, Inc. sits in the wider market — its sector, location and stage cohorts, each with their own leaderboards and capital-flow timelines.

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