Companies · AI / ML

Outlier AI, Inc.

OAKLAND · AI / ML · refined from filed group “Other Technology

Diligence memoA one-page analyst read on Outlier AI, Inc. — recommendation, valuation, rhythm, risks.
$32.7M
Total raised · real
4
Rounds
3.9×
Latest step-up
Top 6%
Sector rank · raised
Series B
Latest stage · inferred · Wed Jan 15 2020 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)

Outlier AI, Inc. looks over-valued against its niche peers and is dormant on financing cadence.

Synthesized from the figures below est. — every claim rests on a number shown on this page. Valuation uses the ai/ml sector profile.

Analyst read est. — computed against this company's niche peers in the same era. Inputs shown; not a quoted figure.

Over-valued
  • Modeled value is 1.96× the median modeled value of Series B AI / ML companies in 2019–2021 (22 peers) — value vs value, same stage and era.
Dormant
  • Last raise 6.5 yr ago; this sector typically re-raises about every 11 months.
  • Silent for over 3× the sector's normal cadence.
Leadership

No named principal in this company's public records yet — see all operators below.

Explore how these operators interlock with other companies in the operator network.

Where it sits in AI / ML

Outlier AI, Inc. is one of 2067 AI / ML companies tracked from OAKLAND. By capital raised it ranks among the largest (ahead of 95% of sector peers), and among the largest by modeled valuation est..

Ranking is computed against this company's own sector cohort — reported capital is fact; valuation tiers are modeled.

ai/ml

As reported in public records reported — not modeled.

US
Jurisdiction
Rule 506(b)
Reg D exemption
7
Investors (latest)
2015
Year incorporated
2020-01-15
First sale
Amount raised vs valuation, by round

Solid bars are reported offering amounts reported; hatched bars are the modeled post-money valuation est. — both on one shared scale so you can read raise-vs-worth at each round directly. Use the toggles to overlay data labels and the niche-peer / market average value lines.

Amount raised · realModeled valuation · estCumulative funded · real
$0$250M$500M$750M$1.0BSeed · 2015-06-24 Raised $1.2M (real) Modeled valuation $53M (est)$1.2M$53MSeed2015Seed · 2015-06-24 Raised $1.2M (real) Modeled valuation $53M (est)$1.2M$53MSeed2015Seed · 2016-10-03 Raised $1.2M (real) Modeled valuation $52M (est)$1.2M$52MSeed2016Series A · 2018-01-31 Raised $6.2M (real) Modeled valuation $223M (est)$6.2M$223MSeries A2018Series B · 2020-01-15 Raised $24M (real) Modeled valuation $959M (est)$24M$959MSeries B2020+$1.2M+$1.2M+$6.2M+$24MCumulative $34M

The line shows cumulative reported funding over the period; + labels show new capital added between points when there is room. Toggle on-bar figures, plus the niche-peer and market averages, to read this company against its cohort. Benchmarks are modeled medians.

Financing ladder & sequence gaps
Seed$1.2M · 2015
Seed extension$1.2M · 2015
Seed extension$1.2M · 2016
Series A$6.2M · 2018
Series B$24.2M · 2020

Stages are modeled from round size (public records carry no series label). No record for: Pre-Seed — the company may have raised it under a different exemption, merged it into an adjacent record, or skipped it. Sequence completeness: 75%.

Modeled valuation trajectory
$959.2M
Base estimate est.
$59.2M
Conservative case
$3.7B
Upside case
$134.3M
Modeled post-money

Round size and date are reported; the stage label is inferred from round size (latest is Series Ba $15M–$40M round). Valuation is modeled from stage benchmarks scaled by the ai/ml sector profile. Directional, not a quoted figure.

Seed · modeled $53.3M · 2015-06-242015Seed · modeled $53.3M · 2015-06-24Seed · modeled $51.6M · 2016-10-03Series A · modeled $222.5M · 2018-01-31Series B · modeled $959.2M · 2020-01-152020
Model inputs · modeled:benchmark-stage-stepup-v1
18%
Dilution assumption
Implied ownership sold in the financing.
67%
Survival probability
44% low · 81% high
1.49×/yr
Annual markup
1.80×/yr upside case
6.0 yr
Elapsed time used
6.5 yr actual, capped for stale marks
ai/ml
Sector profile
Adjusts growth and survival by industry.
Financing rhythm
14 mo
Avg between rounds
$7.2M/yr
Capital velocity
11.0 yr
On record since
2015
First round
5
Rounds on file
How it compares to the market

Benchmarked against 2067 companies in AI / ML. Each bar is a median (the middle company, not an average — outliers don't skew it). Two yardsticks: real money raised (reported on Form D) and modeled value (our estimate est.). These are whole-sector medians across all stages, except the per-stage row.

Total raised — vs sector median (real $, all stages) 6.9× above median
This company$32.7M
Sector median$4.7M
Latest round — vs other Series B rounds in sector (real $, this stage) 1.1× above median
This company$24.2M
Sector median$21.8M
Modeled value — vs sector median (estimate, all stages) 34× above median
This company$959.2M
Sector median$27.9M

Raised more than 95% of sector peers (real $). Modeled value above 97% of peers (estimate).

Niche peers — same stage & era

A tighter cohort than the sector chart above — only companies at the same stage (Series B) that last raised in the same ~3-year era, ranked by modeled value est. (not money raised). This is the exact set the analyst read compares against, so a like-for-like cohort is what makes "over/under-valued" meaningful. This company ranks #2 of 22.

This companyCohort peer
$100.0M$1.0B$10.0B$10.0M$100.0MCapital raised (log)Nile AI, Inc. · Series B Raised $29.3M · modeled $1.1B (est)ClosedLoop.ai Inc. · Series B Raised $36.9M · modeled $867.1M (est)Airbyte, Inc. · Series B Raised $25.9M · modeled $725.4M (est)Common Intelligence, LLC · Series B Raised $22.0M · modeled $713.2M (est)Chooch Intelligence Technologies Co. · Series B Raised $20.1M · modeled $688.6M (est)SkydropX, Inc. · Series B Raised $25.7M · modeled $610.7M (est)Rasgo Intelligence Inc. · Series B Raised $25.6M · modeled $585.1M (est)Mosaic ML, Inc. · Series B Raised $21.7M · modeled $581.1M (est)Monotony.ai, Inc. · Series B Raised $26.4M · modeled $505.0M (est)Kore.ai, Inc. · Series B Raised $50.8M · modeled $495.2M (est)AI Fleet Inc. · Series B Raised $21.0M · modeled $483.6M (est)Outlier AI, Inc. (this company) Raised $32.7M · modeled $959.2M (est)Outlier AI, Inc.
CompanyStageRaised · realValue · estvs peer med.
Nile AI, Inc.Series B$29.3M$1.1B2.15×
Outlier AI, Inc. this companySeries B$32.7M$959.2M1.96×
ClosedLoop.ai Inc.Series B$36.9M$867.1M1.77×
Airbyte, Inc.Series B$25.9M$725.4M1.48×
Common Intelligence, LLCSeries B$22.0M$713.2M1.46×
Chooch Intelligence Technologies Co.Series B$20.1M$688.6M1.41×
SkydropX, Inc.Series B$25.7M$610.7M1.25×
Rasgo Intelligence Inc.Series B$25.6M$585.1M1.20×
Mosaic ML, Inc.Series B$21.7M$581.1M1.19×
Monotony.ai, Inc.Series B$26.4M$505.0M1.03×
Kore.ai, Inc.Series B$50.8M$495.2M1.01×
AI Fleet Inc.Series B$21.0M$483.6M0.99×
Full financing history

Stage is inferred from round size est., not reported on the filing — a round's dollar size maps to a bucket: Pre-Seed <$1.0M · Seed $1.0M–$4.0M · Series A $4.0M–$15M · Series B $15M–$40M · Series C $40M–$100M · Series D+ $100M–$400M · Growth/Late >$400M.

StageAmount · realAnnouncedPost-money · estValue · estConf.
Seed$1.2M2015-06-24$6.0M$53.3M85%
Seed$1.2M2015-06-24$6.0M$53.3M85%
Seed$1.2M2016-10-03$5.8M$51.6M90%
Series A$6.2M2018-01-31$28.0M$222.5M90%
Series B$24.2M2020-01-15$134.3M$959.2M90%
What happened at each round

Step-up, pace versus the sector's normal cadence, and revenue/exemption moves — read straight from the reported round facts reported.

  1. Seed$1.2M2015-06-24
    • First recorded raise — entered as Seed.
    • 13 investors on this round.
  2. Seed$1.2M2015-06-24
    • Filed alongside the prior round (same month) — likely a tranche or amendment.
    • Round roughly the size of the prior one.
    • 13 investors on this round.
  3. Seed$1.2M2016-10-03
    • Raised 15 mo later, in step with the ~11 mo sector norm.
    • Round roughly the size of the prior one.
    • 10 investors on this round.
  4. Series A$6.2M2018-01-31
    • Raised 16 mo later, in step with the ~11 mo sector norm.
    • Round 5.3× larger than the prior — scaling up.
    • 7 investors on this round.
  5. Series B$24.2M2020-01-15
    • Raised again after 23 mo — slower than the ~11 mo sector norm.
    • Round 3.9× larger than the prior — scaling up.
    • 7 investors on this round.
Intelligence
2021 ~Q1
Modeled next raise · ~14mo cadence
$72.5M
Modeled next size est.range $47.1M$116.1M
3.9×
Last step-up
$7.2M/yr
Capital velocity

Predictive signals are modeled est. from this company's own cadence and step-up, plus sector benchmarks — directional, not advice. Peer set and a CSV export live in your analyst workspace.

Key people & operators

Officers, directors and promoters named in this company's public recordsreported — the people who run it (not its investors). "Also runs" counts come from name-matching across all records, so verify before acting.

PersonRoleAlso runsTied since
Satya Patel19 other2020-01
Michael Kim13 other2015-06
Joseph Floyd8 other2020-01
Sean Byrnes2 other2015-06
Alex Rosen1 other2018-01
Registry & provenance

Outlier AI, Inc. is an official record sourced from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). U.S. data is aggregated from SEC Form D filings.

United States
Country of record
US
Jurisdiction
1647140
SEC CIK
2015
Incorporated
Similar companies

Nearest neighbours across the whole database — matched on sector, stage and capital scale, and on shared operators (officers or directors named at both companies in public filings). A discovery shortlist, not a valuation cohort — verify before acting, the same way modeled figures are directional.

CompanySectorStageRaised · realValue · estWhy similar
Replicate, Inc.AI / MLSeries B$32.4M$395.1Msame sector · same stage
Liquid AI, Inc.AI / MLSeries B$31.9M$326.6Msame sector · same stage
AI Software Holdings, LLCAI / MLSeries B$33.6M$25.9Msame sector · same stage
Lava.ai, Inc.AI / MLSeries B$33.8M$254.5Msame sector · same stage
Earth AI Inc.AI / MLSeries B$35.4M$175.1Msame sector · same stage
BackOps-ai Inc.AI / MLSeries B$35.5M$121.1Msame sector · same stage
SGNL.AI, Inc.AI / MLSeries B$30.0M$198.8Msame sector · same stage
Beacons AI Inc.AI / MLSeries B$29.6M$455.2Msame sector · same stage
Semantically similar

Matched by meaning, not labels — a local language model reads each company's name, sector and description and ranks the closest in that learned space. This catches look-alikes that cross sector boundaries; the structured list above explains its matches, this one trusts the text. Directional, like every modeled signal here.

CompanySectorStageValue · estMatch
System AI, Inc.AI / MLPre-Seed$8.4M90%
Analytical AI, Inc.AI / MLSeed$19.4M90%
Automatic AI, Inc.AI / MLPre-Seed$461K90%
Obviously AI, Inc.AI / MLSeries A$41.1M89%
Omnify.Ai, Inc.AI / MLSeed$88.8M89%
Tend AI IncAI / MLSeed$88.8M89%
Total AI Systems, Inc.AI / MLPre-Seed$6.5M89%
x.ai, inc.AI / MLSeries B$245.9M88%
Frequently asked
How much funding has Outlier AI, Inc. raised?
Outlier AI, Inc. has raised approximately $32.7M in disclosed capital across 4 recorded financing rounds, aggregated from public filings.
What is Outlier AI, Inc.'s estimated valuation?
Provath's modeled valuation for Outlier AI, Inc. is approximately $959.2M (modeled range $59.2M–$3.7B). This is an algorithmic estimate derived from round sizes and same-niche peers — not a quoted or reported figure.
What funding stage is Outlier AI, Inc. at?
Outlier AI, Inc.'s latest modeled financing stage is Series B. Its most recent recorded round closed around Wed Jan 15.
What does Outlier AI, Inc. do and where is it based?
Outlier AI, Inc. operates in the AI / ML sector, based in OAKLAND.
Explore related

See where Outlier AI, Inc. sits in the wider market — its sector, location and stage cohorts, each with their own leaderboards and capital-flow timelines.

Is this your company?

If you work at Outlier AI, Inc., claim this profile or suggest a correction. We aggregate from public filings, so help us keep your description, website and links accurate.

Is this your company? Update your profile or add contact details — and choose exactly who can reach you. Reviewed before anything is published.