Companies · Other

Oranje Topco, Inc.

SAN FRANCISCO · Other

Diligence memoA one-page analyst read on Oranje Topco, Inc. — recommendation, valuation, rhythm, risks.
$3.4B
Total raised · real
1
Rounds
Latest step-up
Top 1%
Sector rank · raised
Growth/Late
Latest stage · inferred · Wed Feb 01 2023 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)

Oranje Topco, Inc. looks over-valued against its niche peers and is dormant on financing cadence.

Synthesized from the figures below est. — every claim rests on a number shown on this page.

Analyst read est. — computed against this company's niche peers in the same era. Inputs shown; not a quoted figure.

Over-valued
  • Modeled value is 6.18× the median modeled value of Growth/Late Other companies in 2022–2024 (25 peers) — value vs value, same stage and era.
Dormant
  • Last raise 3.4 yr ago; this sector typically re-raises about every 11 months.
  • Only one round on record and long silent — often defunct, acquired, or gone quiet.
Leadership

No named principal in this company's public records yet — see all operators below.

Explore how these operators interlock with other companies in the operator network.

Where it sits in Other

Oranje Topco, Inc. is one of 25015 Other companies tracked from SAN FRANCISCO. By capital raised it ranks among the largest (ahead of 100% of sector peers), and among the largest by modeled valuation est..

Ranking is computed against this company's own sector cohort — reported capital is fact; valuation tiers are modeled.

As reported in public records reported — not modeled.

US
Jurisdiction
Rule 506(b)
Reg D exemption
6
Investors (latest)
2022
Year incorporated
2023-02-01
First sale
Amount raised vs valuation, by round

Solid bars are reported offering amounts reported; hatched bars are the modeled post-money valuation est. — both on one shared scale so you can read raise-vs-worth at each round directly. Use the toggles to overlay data labels and the niche-peer / market average value lines.

Amount raised · realModeled valuation · estCumulative funded · real
$0$12.5B$25.0B$37.5B$50.0BGrowth/Late · 2023-02-01 Raised $3.4B (real) Modeled valuation $45.2B (est)$3.4B$45.2BGrowth/Late2023

The line shows cumulative reported funding over the period; + labels show new capital added between points when there is room. Toggle on-bar figures, plus the niche-peer and market averages, to read this company against its cohort. Benchmarks are modeled medians.

Financing ladder & sequence gaps
Growth/Late$3.4B · 2023

Stages are modeled from round size (public records carry no series label). No record for: Pre-Seed, Seed, Series A, Series B, Series C, Series D+ — the company may have raised it under a different exemption, merged it into an adjacent record, or skipped it. Sequence completeness: 14%.

Modeled valuation trajectory
$45.2B
Base estimate est.
$26.6B
Conservative case
$65.2B
Upside case
$34.1B
Modeled post-money

Round size and date are reported; the stage label is inferred from round size (latest is Growth/Latea round over $400M). Valuation is modeled from stage benchmarks. Directional, not a quoted figure.

Not enough modeled valuation points to chart a trajectory.

Model inputs · modeled:benchmark-stage-stepup-v1
10%
Dilution assumption
Implied ownership sold in the financing.
90%
Survival probability
78% low · 97% high
1.12×/yr
Annual markup
1.22×/yr upside case
3.4 yr
Elapsed time used
3.4 yr actual, capped for stale marks
general
Sector profile
Adjusts growth and survival by industry.
Financing rhythm
Avg between rounds
Capital velocity
3.4 yr
On record since
2023
First round
1
Rounds on file
How it compares to the market

Benchmarked against 25015 companies in Other. Each bar is a median (the middle company, not an average — outliers don't skew it). Two yardsticks: real money raised (reported on Form D) and modeled value (our estimate est.). These are whole-sector medians across all stages, except the per-stage row.

Total raised — vs sector median (real $, all stages) 1667× above median
This company$3.4B
Sector median$2.0M
Latest round — vs other Growth/Late rounds in sector (real $, this stage) 6.6× above median
This company$3.4B
Sector median$513.1M
Modeled value — vs sector median (estimate, all stages) 2560× above median
This company$45.2B
Sector median$17.7M

Raised more than 100% of sector peers (real $). Modeled value above 100% of peers (estimate).

Niche peers — same stage & era

A tighter cohort than the sector chart above — only companies at the same stage (Growth/Late) that last raised in the same ~3-year era, ranked by modeled value est. (not money raised). This is the exact set the analyst read compares against, so a like-for-like cohort is what makes "over/under-valued" meaningful. This company ranks #1 of 25.

This companyCohort peer
$1.0B$10.0B$100.0B$100.0M$1.0B$10.0BCapital raised (log)Icefall Topco, Inc. · Growth/Late Raised $2.9B · modeled $34.2B (est)Disco Topco, Inc. · Growth/Late Raised $1.9B · modeled $25.0B (est)Staubach Topco, Inc. · Growth/Late Raised $1.4B · modeled $20.7B (est)Arkady HoldCo, Inc. · Growth/Late Raised $1.4B · modeled $15.3B (est)Grupo Gon-Rey Holdings, Llc · Growth/Late Raised $1.4B · modeled $15.2B (est)Nemo Topco, Inc. · Growth/Late Raised $865.7M · modeled $9.6B (est)HF Private Funds Pool, LLC · Growth/Late Raised $946.5M · modeled $9.4B (est)HF Direct Investments Pool, LLC · Growth/Late Raised $680.0M · modeled $8.9B (est)Bluehalo Holdings Parent, Llc · Growth/Late Raised $723.2M · modeled $8.5B (est)Tetris Topco, Inc. · Growth/Late Raised $534.7M · modeled $7.9B (est)Celsius Holdings, Inc. · Growth/Late Raised $582.5M · modeled $7.7B (est)Oranje Topco, Inc. (this company) Raised $3.4B · modeled $45.2B (est)Oranje Topco, Inc.
CompanyStageRaised · realValue · estvs peer med.
Oranje Topco, Inc. this companyGrowth/Late$3.4B$45.2B6.18×
Icefall Topco, Inc.Growth/Late$2.9B$34.2B4.68×
Disco Topco, Inc.Growth/Late$1.9B$25.0B3.41×
Staubach Topco, Inc.Growth/Late$1.4B$20.7B2.83×
Arkady HoldCo, Inc.Growth/Late$1.4B$15.3B2.10×
Grupo Gon-Rey Holdings, LlcGrowth/Late$1.4B$15.2B2.08×
Nemo Topco, Inc.Growth/Late$865.7M$9.6B1.31×
HF Private Funds Pool, LLCGrowth/Late$946.5M$9.4B1.28×
HF Direct Investments Pool, LLCGrowth/Late$680.0M$8.9B1.21×
Bluehalo Holdings Parent, LlcGrowth/Late$723.2M$8.5B1.16×
Tetris Topco, Inc.Growth/Late$534.7M$7.9B1.08×
Celsius Holdings, Inc.Growth/Late$582.5M$7.7B1.06×
Full financing history

Stage is inferred from round size est., not reported on the filing — a round's dollar size maps to a bucket: Pre-Seed <$1.0M · Seed $1.0M–$4.0M · Series A $4.0M–$15M · Series B $15M–$40M · Series C $40M–$100M · Series D+ $100M–$400M · Growth/Late >$400M.

StageAmount · realAnnouncedPost-money · estValue · estConf.
Growth/Late$3.4B2023-02-01$34.1B$45.2B90%
What happened at each round

Step-up, pace versus the sector's normal cadence, and revenue/exemption moves — read straight from the reported round facts reported.

  1. Growth/Late$3.4B2023-02-01
    • First recorded raise — entered as Growth/Late.
    • 6 investors on this round.
Intelligence
Modeled next raise
$5.5B
Modeled next size est.range $3.5B$8.7B
Last step-up
Capital velocity

Predictive signals are modeled est. from this company's own cadence and step-up, plus sector benchmarks — directional, not advice. Peer set and a CSV export live in your analyst workspace.

Key people & operators

Officers, directors and promoters named in this company's public recordsreported — the people who run it (not its investors). "Also runs" counts come from name-matching across all records, so verify before acting.

PersonRoleAlso runsTied since
MICHAEL E. FOSNAUGH6 other2023-02
ROD E. ALIABADI2 other2023-02
NICHOLAS E. PRICKEL1 other2023-02
ELIZABETH E. KNUPPEL2023-02
NADEEM E. SYED2023-02
Registry & provenance

Oranje Topco, Inc. is an official record sourced from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). U.S. data is aggregated from SEC Form D filings.

United States
Country of record
US
Jurisdiction
1964770
SEC CIK
2022
Incorporated
Similar companies

Nearest neighbours across the whole database — matched on sector, stage and capital scale, and on shared operators (officers or directors named at both companies in public filings). A discovery shortlist, not a valuation cohort — verify before acting, the same way modeled figures are directional.

CompanySectorStageRaised · realValue · estWhy similar
Staubach Topco, Inc.OtherGrowth/Late$1.4B$20.7Bnetwork2 shared operators · same sector · same stage
Mountain Topco, Inc.OtherGrowth/Late$575.0M$6.5Bnetwork2 shared operators · same sector · same stage
Icefall Topco, Inc.OtherGrowth/Late$2.9B$34.2Bnetwork1 shared operator · same sector · same stage
Boxer Parent Co IncOtherGrowth/Late$3.7B$22.1Bsame sector · same stage
Conagra Foods Inc /De/OtherGrowth/Late$3.0B$26.6Bsame sector · same stage
iHeartCommunications, Inc.OtherGrowth/Late$4.3B$8.5Bsame sector · same stage
Einstein Aggregator, L.P.OtherGrowth/Late$4.9B$52.3Bsame sector · same stage
Einstein Topco, L.P.OtherGrowth/Late$5.0B$52.6Bsame sector · same stage
Semantically similar

Matched by meaning, not labels — a local language model reads each company's name, sector and description and ranks the closest in that learned space. This catches look-alikes that cross sector boundaries; the structured list above explains its matches, this one trusts the text. Directional, like every modeled signal here.

CompanySectorStageValue · estMatch
Andor Topco, Inc.OtherGrowth/Late$6.7B93%
Nemo Topco, Inc.OtherGrowth/Late$9.6B88%
Aceso Topco, LlcOtherGrowth/Late$9.9B88%
Omakase Topco, LlcOtherSeries C$1.1B88%
eTouches Topco, Inc.OtherSeries D+$2.7B88%
Hera Topco, Inc.OtherGrowth/Late$7.2B88%
EM Topco LtdOtherSeries C$729.6M88%
Artisan Topco LtdOtherSeed$10.3M87%
Frequently asked
How much funding has Oranje Topco, Inc. raised?
Oranje Topco, Inc. has raised approximately $3.4B in disclosed capital across 1 recorded financing round, aggregated from public filings.
What is Oranje Topco, Inc.'s estimated valuation?
Provath's modeled valuation for Oranje Topco, Inc. is approximately $45.2B (modeled range $26.6B–$65.2B). This is an algorithmic estimate derived from round sizes and same-niche peers — not a quoted or reported figure.
What funding stage is Oranje Topco, Inc. at?
Oranje Topco, Inc.'s latest modeled financing stage is Growth/Late. Its most recent recorded round closed around Wed Feb 01.
What does Oranje Topco, Inc. do and where is it based?
Oranje Topco, Inc. operates in the Other sector, based in SAN FRANCISCO.
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