Companies · Energy / Climate

Black Swan Power LLC

CAMBRIDGE · Energy / Climate · refined from filed group “Other Technology

Diligence memoA one-page analyst read on Black Swan Power LLC — recommendation, valuation, rhythm, risks.
$1.0M
Total raised · real
1
Rounds
Latest step-up
Top 72%
Sector rank · raised
Pre-Seed
Latest stage · inferred · Mon Dec 16 2019 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)

Black Swan Power LLC looks over-valued against its niche peers and is dormant on financing cadence.

Synthesized from the figures below est. — every claim rests on a number shown on this page. Valuation uses the energy sector profile.

Analyst read est. — computed against this company's niche peers in the same era. Inputs shown; not a quoted figure.

Over-valued
  • Modeled value is 6.10× the median modeled value of Pre-Seed Energy / Climate companies in 2019–2021 (18 peers) — value vs value, same stage and era.
Dormant
  • Last raise 6.5 yr ago; this sector typically re-raises about every 11 months.
  • Only one round on record and long silent — often defunct, acquired, or gone quiet.

Procedural diagnosis est. — rule-based common-sense checks over the filing pattern, issuer name, activity cadence, and surfaced operating evidence.

Issuer-vehicle patternmedium confidence

Black Swan Power LLC behaves more like a recurring private-offering issuer than a conventional venture-backed operating company.

Issuer structure
Company-like
No recurring-offering pattern strong enough to override normal financing interpretation.
Lifecycle
6.5 yr record
Peak capital year was 2019 with $1.0M across 1 filings.
Market position
ahead of 29% of Energy / Climate peers
Capital scale is ahead of 29% of Energy / Climate peers; modeled value is above 54% of peers by modeled value. Large capital with mid-pack modeled value can signal an issuer/program profile rather than operating-company growth.
Valuation reliability
Normal applicability
Stage/dilution valuation models are weakest when the issuer is broad-sector, recurring, or vehicle-like.
Operating evidence
Sparse
No clear CEO/founder/principal role is surfaced, so operating-company confidence is lower.
Data quality
Consistent
Canonical totals and visible filing detail are broadly aligned.
What triggered this
  • Legal name looks like an issuer vehicle rather than a product company.
  • No clearly named CEO/founder/principal role in the public records surfaced here.
  • No verified homepage on the profile yet.
  • Capital program peaked in 2019: $1.0M across 1 filings.
  • Largest single filing was $1.0M on 2019-12-16.
How to read the page
  • Read this less like a startup funding journey and more like a capital-raising program.
  • Stage-based valuation and peer labels have lower applicability for this pattern.
  • The more important signal is lifecycle: repeated filings ended years ago, so current activity needs outside confirmation.
Leadership

No named principal in this company's public records yet — see all operators below.

Explore how these operators interlock with other companies in the operator network.

Where it sits in Energy / Climate

Black Swan Power LLC is one of 235 Energy / Climate companies tracked from CAMBRIDGE. By capital raised it ranks in the long tail (ahead of 29% of sector peers), and mid-pack by modeled valuation est..

Ranking is computed against this company's own sector cohort — reported capital is fact; valuation tiers are modeled.

As reported in public records reported — not modeled.

US
Jurisdiction
Rule 506(b)
Reg D exemption
3
Investors (latest)
2019
Year incorporated
2019-12-16
First sale
Amount raised vs valuation, by round

Solid bars are reported offering amounts reported; hatched bars are the modeled post-money valuation est. — both on one shared scale so you can read raise-vs-worth at each round directly. Use the toggles to overlay data labels and the niche-peer / market average value lines.

Amount raised · realModeled valuation · estCumulative funded · real
$0$5.0M$10M$15M$20MPre-Seed · 2019-12-16 Raised $1.0M (real) Modeled valuation $19M (est)$1.0M$19MPre-Seed2019

The line shows cumulative reported funding over the period; + labels show new capital added between points when there is room. Toggle on-bar figures, plus the niche-peer and market averages, to read this company against its cohort. Benchmarks are modeled medians.

Financing ladder & sequence gaps
Pre-Seed$1.0M · 2019

Stages are modeled from round size (public records carry no series label). Ladder is contiguous — every modeled rung has a record.

Modeled valuation trajectory
$19.0M
Base estimate est.
$620K
Conservative case
$215.9M
Upside case
$5.6M
Modeled post-money

Round size and date are reported; the stage label is inferred from round size (latest is Pre-Seeda round under $1.0M). Valuation is modeled from stage benchmarks scaled by the energy sector profile. Directional, not a quoted figure.

Not enough modeled valuation points to chart a trajectory.

Model inputs · modeled:benchmark-stage-stepup-v1
18%
Dilution assumption
Implied ownership sold in the financing.
28%
Survival probability
11% low · 51% high
1.52×/yr
Annual markup
2.06×/yr upside case
6.0 yr
Elapsed time used
6.5 yr actual, capped for stale marks
energy
Sector profile
Adjusts growth and survival by industry.
Financing rhythm
Avg between rounds
Capital velocity
6.5 yr
On record since
2019
First round
1
Rounds on file
How it compares to the market

Benchmarked against 235 companies in Energy / Climate. Each bar is a median (the middle company, not an average — outliers don't skew it). Two yardsticks: real money raised (reported on Form D) and modeled value (our estimate est.). These are whole-sector medians across all stages, except the per-stage row.

Total raised — vs sector median (real $, all stages) 0.2× of median
This company$1.0M
Sector median$5.0M
Latest round — vs other Pre-Seed rounds in sector (real $, this stage) 2.7× above median
This company$1.0M
Sector median$375K
Modeled value — vs sector median (estimate, all stages) 1.0× above median
This company$19.0M
Sector median$19.0M

Raised more than 29% of sector peers (real $). Modeled value above 54% of peers (estimate).

Niche peers — same stage & era

A tighter cohort than the sector chart above — only companies at the same stage (Pre-Seed) that last raised in the same ~3-year era, ranked by modeled value est. (not money raised). This is the exact set the analyst read compares against, so a like-for-like cohort is what makes "over/under-valued" meaningful. This company ranks #1 of 18.

This companyCohort peer
$1.0M$10.0M$100.0M$100K$1.0M$10.0MCapital raised (log)Qoz Firefly Energy Solutions, Llc · Pre-Seed Raised $1.0M · modeled $11.6M (est)Capacitech Energy Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $448K · modeled $8.5M (est)Rolling Energy Resources, Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $650K · modeled $8.5M (est)Kara Energy Technologies Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $380K · modeled $7.2M (est)Energy Ledger Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $265K · modeled $4.1M (est)NightRide Thermal LLC · Pre-Seed Raised $383K · modeled $4.0M (est)Power of XYZ Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $300K · modeled $3.8M (est)Power Poll, LLC · Pre-Seed Raised $250K · modeled $3.3M (est)Power Movement Organization, Inc. · Pre-Seed Raised $195K · modeled $3.0M (est)FireFly Energy Solutions, LLC · Pre-Seed Raised $250K · modeled $2.9M (est)Starfire Energy FF LLC · Pre-Seed Raised $173K · modeled $2.8M (est)Black Swan Power LLC (this company) Raised $1.0M · modeled $19.0M (est)Black Swan Power LLC
CompanyStageRaised · realValue · estvs peer med.
Black Swan Power LLC this companyPre-Seed$1.0M$19.0M6.10×
Qoz Firefly Energy Solutions, LlcPre-Seed$1.0M$11.6M3.70×
Capacitech Energy Inc.Pre-Seed$448K$8.5M2.73×
Rolling Energy Resources, Inc.Pre-Seed$650K$8.5M2.72×
Kara Energy Technologies Inc.Pre-Seed$380K$7.2M2.32×
Energy Ledger Inc.Pre-Seed$265K$4.1M1.32×
NightRide Thermal LLCPre-Seed$383K$4.0M1.28×
Power of XYZ Inc.Pre-Seed$300K$3.8M1.21×
Power Poll, LLCPre-Seed$250K$3.3M1.05×
Power Movement Organization, Inc.Pre-Seed$195K$3.0M0.95×
FireFly Energy Solutions, LLCPre-Seed$250K$2.9M0.91×
Starfire Energy FF LLCPre-Seed$173K$2.8M0.90×
Full financing history

Stage is inferred from round size est., not reported on the filing — a round's dollar size maps to a bucket: Pre-Seed <$1.0M · Seed $1.0M–$4.0M · Series A $4.0M–$15M · Series B $15M–$40M · Series C $40M–$100M · Series D+ $100M–$400M · Growth/Late >$400M.

StageAmount · realAnnouncedPost-money · estValue · estConf.
Pre-Seed$1.0M2019-12-16$5.6M$19.0M90%
What happened at each round

Step-up, pace versus the sector's normal cadence, and revenue/exemption moves — read straight from the reported round facts reported.

  1. Pre-Seed$1.0M2019-12-16
    • First recorded raise — entered as Pre-Seed.
    • 3 investors on this round.
Intelligence
Modeled next raise
$1.6M
Modeled next size est.range $1.0M$2.6M
Last step-up
Capital velocity

Predictive signals are modeled est. from this company's own cadence and step-up, plus sector benchmarks — directional, not advice. Peer set and a CSV export live in your analyst workspace.

Key people & operators

Officers, directors and promoters named in this company's public recordsreported — the people who run it (not its investors). "Also runs" counts come from name-matching across all records, so verify before acting.

PersonRoleAlso runsTied since
Richard D. Gilles2019-12
Registry & provenance

Black Swan Power LLC is an official record sourced from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). U.S. data is aggregated from SEC Form D filings.

United States
Country of record
US
Jurisdiction
1806059
SEC CIK
2019
Incorporated
Similar companies

Nearest neighbours across the whole database — matched on sector, stage and capital scale, and on shared operators (officers or directors named at both companies in public filings). A discovery shortlist, not a valuation cohort — verify before acting, the same way modeled figures are directional.

CompanySectorStageRaised · realValue · estWhy similar
Dynamo Energy Hub, Inc.Energy / ClimatePre-Seed$1.0M$6.8Msame sector · same stage
Global Energy Transmission, Co.Energy / ClimatePre-Seed$1.0M$980Ksame sector · same stage
Qoz Firefly Energy Solutions, LlcEnergy / ClimatePre-Seed$1.0M$11.6Msame sector · same stage
HydroGraph Clean Power Inc.Energy / ClimatePre-Seed$1.0M$863Ksame sector · same stage
Urano Energy Corp.Energy / ClimatePre-Seed$1.2M$266Ksame sector · same stage
Li-FT Power Ltd.Energy / ClimatePre-Seed$773K$5.2Msame sector · same stage
Verdera Energy Corp.Energy / ClimatePre-Seed$1.4M$721Ksame sector · same stage
ANI Energy, LLCEnergy / ClimatePre-Seed$1.5M$3.7Msame sector · same stage
Semantically similar

Matched by meaning, not labels — a local language model reads each company's name, sector and description and ranks the closest in that learned space. This catches look-alikes that cross sector boundaries; the structured list above explains its matches, this one trusts the text. Directional, like every modeled signal here.

CompanySectorStageValue · estMatch
Power Design Holdings, LLCEnergy / ClimateSeries B$405.5M87%
Solstice Power Technologies, Inc.Energy / ClimateSeed$48.0M86%
Brilliant Light Power, IncEnergy / ClimateSeries B$251.0M86%
Digital Power CorpEnergy / ClimateSeed$38.3M86%
Spear Power Systems, Inc.Energy / ClimateSeries A$33.7M86%
Solid Power Inc.Energy / ClimateSeries D+$1.9B85%
FireFly Energy Solutions, LLCEnergy / ClimatePre-Seed$2.9M85%
Noon Energy Inc.Energy / ClimateSeries B$219.5M85%
Frequently asked
How much funding has Black Swan Power LLC raised?
Black Swan Power LLC has raised approximately $1.0M in disclosed capital across 1 recorded financing round, aggregated from public filings.
What is Black Swan Power LLC's estimated valuation?
Provath's modeled valuation for Black Swan Power LLC is approximately $19.0M (modeled range $620K–$215.9M). This is an algorithmic estimate derived from round sizes and same-niche peers — not a quoted or reported figure.
What funding stage is Black Swan Power LLC at?
Black Swan Power LLC's latest modeled financing stage is Pre-Seed. Its most recent recorded round closed around Mon Dec 16.
What does Black Swan Power LLC do and where is it based?
Black Swan Power LLC operates in the Energy / Climate sector, based in CAMBRIDGE.
Explore related

See where Black Swan Power LLC sits in the wider market — its sector, location and stage cohorts, each with their own leaderboards and capital-flow timelines.

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