Companies · Pharmaceuticals

Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

MISSION VIEJO · Pharmaceuticals

Diligence memoA one-page analyst read on Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — recommendation, valuation, rhythm, risks.
$18.5M
Total raised · real
7
Rounds
1.9×
Latest step-up
Top 36%
Sector rank · raised
Series A
Latest stage · inferred · Thu Dec 10 2015 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)

Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. looks fair against its niche peers and is dormant on financing cadence.

Synthesized from the figures below est. — every claim rests on a number shown on this page. Valuation uses the pharma sector profile.

Analyst read est. — computed against this company's niche peers in the same era. Inputs shown; not a quoted figure.

Fair
  • Modeled value is 1.06× the median modeled value of Series A Pharmaceuticals companies in 2013–2015 (64 peers) — value vs value, same stage and era.
  • Within the normal band (106% of peer median) for its niche.
Dormant
  • Last raise 10.6 yr ago; this sector typically re-raises about every 13 months.
  • Silent for over 3× the sector's normal cadence.
Leadership

No named principal in this company's public records yet — see all operators below.

Explore how these operators interlock with other companies in the operator network.

Where it sits in Pharmaceuticals

Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is one of 1613 Pharmaceuticals companies tracked from MISSION VIEJO. By capital raised it ranks mid-pack (ahead of 65% of sector peers), and mid-pack by modeled valuation est..

Ranking is computed against this company's own sector cohort — reported capital is fact; valuation tiers are modeled.

As reported in public records reported — not modeled.

US
Jurisdiction
Amount raised vs valuation, by round

Solid bars are reported offering amounts reported; hatched bars are the modeled post-money valuation est. — both on one shared scale so you can read raise-vs-worth at each round directly. Use the toggles to overlay data labels and the niche-peer / market average value lines.

Amount raised · realModeled valuation · estCumulative funded · real
$0$125M$250M$375M$500MSeed · 2009-03-30 Raised $1.5M (real) Modeled valuation $57M (est)Seed2009Seed · 2009-10-06 Raised $3.3M (real) Modeled valuation $126M (est)Seed2009Seed · 2009-10-06 Raised $1.6M (real) Modeled valuation $63M (est)Seed2009Seed · 2009-10-06 Raised $1.6M (real) Modeled valuation $63M (est)Seed2009Seed · 2010-08-11 Raised $1.0M (real) Modeled valuation $38M (est)Seed2010Seed · 2012-04-04 Raised $690K (real) Modeled valuation $26M (est)Seed2012Seed · 2013-02-22 Raised $3.6M (real) Modeled valuation $138M (est)Seed2013Series A · 2015-12-10 Raised $6.7M (real) Modeled valuation $209M (est)Series A2015+$3.3M+$1.6M+$1.6M+$1.0M+$690K+$3.6M+$6.7MCumulative $20M

The line shows cumulative reported funding over the period; + labels show new capital added between points when there is room. Toggle on-bar figures, plus the niche-peer and market averages, to read this company against its cohort. Benchmarks are modeled medians.

Financing ladder & sequence gaps
Seed$1.5M · 2009
Seed extension$3.3M · 2009
Seed extension$1.6M · 2009
Seed extension$1.6M · 2009
Seed extension$1.0M · 2010
Seed extension$690K · 2012
Seed extension$3.6M · 2013
Series A$6.7M · 2015

Stages are modeled from round size (public records carry no series label). No record for: Pre-Seed — the company may have raised it under a different exemption, merged it into an adjacent record, or skipped it. Sequence completeness: 67%.

Modeled valuation trajectory
$209.0M
Base estimate est.
$7.7M
Conservative case
$1.1B
Upside case
$30.7M
Modeled post-money

Round size and date are reported; the stage label is inferred from round size (latest is Series Aa $4.0M–$15M round). Valuation is modeled from stage benchmarks scaled by the pharma sector profile. Directional, not a quoted figure.

Seed · modeled $57.1M · 2009-03-302009Seed · modeled $125.5M · 2009-10-06Seed · modeled $62.8M · 2009-10-06Seed · modeled $62.8M · 2009-10-06Seed · modeled $38.0M · 2010-08-11Seed · modeled $26.3M · 2012-04-04Seed · modeled $137.5M · 2013-02-22Series A · modeled $209.0M · 2015-12-102015
Model inputs · modeled:benchmark-stage-stepup-v1
22%
Dilution assumption
Implied ownership sold in the financing.
46%
Survival probability
25% low · 63% high
1.57×/yr
Annual markup
1.97×/yr upside case
6.0 yr
Elapsed time used
10.6 yr actual, capped for stale marks
pharma
Sector profile
Adjusts growth and survival by industry.
Financing rhythm
11 mo
Avg between rounds
$2.8M/yr
Capital velocity
17.3 yr
On record since
2009
First round
8
Rounds on file
How it compares to the market

Benchmarked against 1613 companies in Pharmaceuticals. Each bar is a median (the middle company, not an average — outliers don't skew it). Two yardsticks: real money raised (reported on Form D) and modeled value (our estimate est.). These are whole-sector medians across all stages, except the per-stage row.

Total raised — vs sector median (real $, all stages) 2.3× above median
This company$18.5M
Sector median$8.1M
Latest round — vs other Series A rounds in sector (real $, this stage) 1.3× above median
This company$6.7M
Sector median$5.2M
Modeled value — vs sector median (estimate, all stages) 2.7× above median
This company$209.0M
Sector median$76.1M

Raised more than 65% of sector peers (real $). Modeled value above 69% of peers (estimate).

Niche peers — same stage & era

A tighter cohort than the sector chart above — only companies at the same stage (Series A) that last raised in the same ~3-year era, ranked by modeled value est. (not money raised). This is the exact set the analyst read compares against, so a like-for-like cohort is what makes "over/under-valued" meaningful. This company ranks #26 of 64.

This companyCohort peer
$100.0M$1.0B$1.0M$10.0M$100.0MCapital raised (log)Aquinox Pharmaceuticals (Usa) Inc · Series A Raised $30.6M · modeled $433.6M (est)Neurovia, Inc. · Series A Raised $13.9M · modeled $432.1M (est)Romark Global Pharma, LLC · Series A Raised $13.8M · modeled $428.5M (est)Access Pharmaceuticals Inc · Series A Raised $39.2M · modeled $423.2M (est)Minnesota Medical Solutions LLC · Series A Raised $16.6M · modeled $402.6M (est)OncoQuest Inc. · Series A Raised $13.0M · modeled $402.6M (est)Immune Pharmaceuticals Inc · Series A Raised $11.7M · modeled $363.0M (est)Great Lakes Pharmaceuticals, Inc. · Series A Raised $11.2M · modeled $347.5M (est)Rhythm Holding Company, LLC · Series A Raised $11.0M · modeled $340.7M (est)Pharmatrophix Inc · Series A Raised $16.8M · modeled $319.0M (est)Vesuvius Pharmaceuticals, Inc. · Series A Raised $10.2M · modeled $316.7M (est)CoStim Pharmaceuticals Inc. · Series A Raised $10.0M · modeled $309.9M (est)Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (this company) Raised $18.5M · modeled $209.0M (est)Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
CompanyStageRaised · realValue · estvs peer med.
Aquinox Pharmaceuticals (Usa) IncSeries A$30.6M$433.6M2.21×
Neurovia, Inc.Series A$13.9M$432.1M2.20×
Romark Global Pharma, LLCSeries A$13.8M$428.5M2.18×
Access Pharmaceuticals IncSeries A$39.2M$423.2M2.16×
Minnesota Medical Solutions LLCSeries A$16.6M$402.6M2.05×
OncoQuest Inc.Series A$13.0M$402.6M2.05×
Immune Pharmaceuticals IncSeries A$11.7M$363.0M1.85×
Great Lakes Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Series A$11.2M$347.5M1.77×
Rhythm Holding Company, LLCSeries A$11.0M$340.7M1.74×
Pharmatrophix IncSeries A$16.8M$319.0M1.62×
Vesuvius Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Series A$10.2M$316.7M1.61×
CoStim Pharmaceuticals Inc.Series A$10.0M$309.9M1.58×
Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. this companySeries A$18.5M$209.0M1.06×
Full financing history

Stage is inferred from round size est., not reported on the filing — a round's dollar size maps to a bucket: Pre-Seed <$1.0M · Seed $1.0M–$4.0M · Series A $4.0M–$15M · Series B $15M–$40M · Series C $40M–$100M · Series D+ $100M–$400M · Growth/Late >$400M.

StageAmount · realAnnouncedPost-money · estValue · estConf.
Seed$1.5M2009-03-30$7.5M$57.1M90%
Seed$3.3M2009-10-06$16.5M$125.5M90%
Seed$1.6M2009-10-06$8.3M$62.8M90%
Seed$1.6M2009-10-06$8.3M$62.8M90%
Seed$1.0M2010-08-11$5.0M$38.0M90%
Seed$690K2012-04-04$3.5M$26.3M90%
Seed$3.6M2013-02-22$18.1M$137.5M90%
Series A$6.7M2015-12-10$30.7M$209.0M90%
What happened at each round

Step-up, pace versus the sector's normal cadence, and revenue/exemption moves — read straight from the reported round facts reported.

  1. Seed$1.5M2009-03-30
    • First recorded raise — entered as Seed.
  2. Seed$3.3M2009-10-06
    • Came back fast: 6 mo vs the ~13 mo sector norm.
    • Round 2.2× larger than the prior — scaling up.
  3. Seed$1.6M2009-10-06
    • Filed alongside the prior round (same month) — likely a tranche or amendment.
    • Round 2.0× smaller than the prior — bridge or down round.
  4. Seed$1.6M2009-10-06
    • Filed alongside the prior round (same month) — likely a tranche or amendment.
    • Round roughly the size of the prior one.
  5. Seed$1.0M2010-08-11
    • Raised 10 mo later, in step with the ~13 mo sector norm.
    • Round 1.6× smaller than the prior — bridge or down round.
  6. Seed$690K2012-04-04
    • Raised again after 20 mo — slower than the ~13 mo sector norm.
    • Round 1.4× smaller than the prior — bridge or down round.
  7. Seed$3.6M2013-02-22
    • Raised 11 mo later, in step with the ~13 mo sector norm.
    • Round 5.2× larger than the prior — scaling up.
  8. Series A$6.7M2015-12-10
    • Raised again after 34 mo — slower than the ~13 mo sector norm.
    • Round 1.9× larger than the prior — scaling up.
Intelligence
2016 ~Q4
Modeled next raise · ~11mo cadence
$12.6M
Modeled next size est.range $8.2M$20.1M
1.9×
Last step-up
$2.8M/yr
Capital velocity

Predictive signals are modeled est. from this company's own cadence and step-up, plus sector benchmarks — directional, not advice. Peer set and a CSV export live in your analyst workspace.

Key people & operators

Officers, directors and promoters named in this company's public recordsreported — the people who run it (not its investors). "Also runs" counts come from name-matching across all records, so verify before acting.

PersonRoleAlso runsTied since
Michael Lewis11 other2009-03
Amit Kumar7 other2009-03
Michael E Lewis3 other2012-04
Brian Day2 other2009-03
Chris A. Rallis2 other2012-04
JOHN FARAH2 other2009-03
Chris Rallis1 other2009-03
David Cavalier1 other2009-03
Jeffrey A. Scott1 other2015-12
JOHN McMANUS1 other2009-03
Joseph J. Krivulka1 other2012-04
Peter Suzdak1 other2009-03
Russell Skibsted1 other2012-04
AMIT A. KUMAR2015-12
AMIT L. KUMAR2009-10
AMIT M. KUMAR2012-04
BRIAN L. DAY2009-10
CHRIS L. RALLIS2009-10
DAVID C. CAVALIER2012-04
DAVID L. CAVALIER2009-10
JOHN L. FARAH2009-10
JOHN L. MCMANUS2009-10
John M. Clerici2015-12
John M. Farah, Jr.2012-04
Registry & provenance

Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is an official record sourced from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). U.S. data is aggregated from SEC Form D filings.

United States
Country of record
US
Jurisdiction
1261734
SEC CIK
Similar companies

Nearest neighbours across the whole database — matched on sector, stage and capital scale, and on shared operators (officers or directors named at both companies in public filings). A discovery shortlist, not a valuation cohort — verify before acting, the same way modeled figures are directional.

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Frequently asked
How much funding has Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. raised?
Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has raised approximately $18.5M in disclosed capital across 7 recorded financing rounds, aggregated from public filings.
What is Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s estimated valuation?
Provath's modeled valuation for Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is approximately $209.0M (modeled range $7.7M–$1.1B). This is an algorithmic estimate derived from round sizes and same-niche peers — not a quoted or reported figure.
What funding stage is Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. at?
Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s latest modeled financing stage is Series A. Its most recent recorded round closed around Thu Dec 10.
What does Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do and where is it based?
Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. operates in the Pharmaceuticals sector, based in MISSION VIEJO.
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